28 March 2019

Westerosi Body Count Prediction Status Page

Character Will survive? Alive? Will win? Won?
Daenerys Targaryen No Yes No N/A
Jon Snow Yes Yes (kinda) Yes (different game) N/A
Sansa Stark Yes Yes Yes! N/A
Cersei Lannister No Yes No N/A
Cersei's baby Maybe Yes No N/A
Jaime Lannister No Yes No (not playing) N/A
Tyrion Lannister Yes Yes No (not playing) N/A
Arya Stark No (dadgumit) Yes No N/A
Theon Greyjoy Yes (WRONG) No No No
Yara Greyjoy No Yes No N/A

Overview

The above table contains pointers to my original predictions as well as any updated prediction based on new evidence as it rolls out during the new season. Explanation for the different fields:

Character
Name and link to original prediction
Will survive?
Current guess and link to updated prediction (if any)
Alive?
Is the character still alive as of the current episode
Will win?
Current guess and link to updated prediction (if any)
Won?
Final outcome
The Will win? entry needs a little explanation, as I have overloaded its meaning. For some characters, winning means winning the Game of Thrones, and as Cersei Lannister says, "when you play the game of thrones, you win or you die." However, not everyone is playing the same game. My early take is that Jon Snow is not playing, even though it kinda looks like he is as he's fiddling around on the edges, so as gamers might say different players have different victory conditions. Many of the characters "game" is just making it through the winter (they may not know of the Army of the Dead — yet!), so I won't call them out.

The table order is oldest post descending to the most recent which roughly corresponds to descending order of importance to the story as I intuit it. Not too much should be read into that, however, since some of the characters are grouped due to some association in the show.

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